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EITHER Mr Xue is Lu Zhi, Fisherman 2 is Turtle and Magistrate Wei is Lu Buyou revenging his family.
OR Mr Xue is Lu Jinxin, Fisherman 2 is Lu Buyou and Magistrate Wei is Lu Zhi. Poor Turtle is dead, he was killed to take the place of Lu Buyou's corpse. The big misdirect also could be Lu Zhi is actually dead and Magistrate Wei is Turtle.
I think Lu Yuanbao made a lot of enemies and was murdered by his brother, aided by his servants except old Zhong who was loyal to Lu Yuanbao. The fire was to cover up the poisoning and to help Lu Jinxin assume new identity as Mr Xue to evade Lu Yuanbao’ s enemies. Old Zhong was left to die in the fire but he survived. He is helping Mr Zhao come after Lu Jinxin and everyone who helped him.
I also think Siniang's current attendant is not grown up Turtle. He is too thin. Some things like loving food never change. In fact if he weren't uneducated, I would suspect Turtle is Magistrate Wei, just from his figure.
So now we know:
1. Butler Zhang was Guard Zhang Gui and his senior is Li Shiqi, an assassin;
2. They were watching the next two targets Dr Cheng (dead) and who - the chef? or Siniang?
3. The guy writing the confession in bad writing is most likely the mute Zhong.
4. The second fisherman is Magistrate Wei - he has a long fingernail on the 5th finger - if you freeze his scenes you can see it. He was most likely Lu Zhi.
I think the murderer has to be either old Zhong, Lu Zhi or Siniang's assistant the fat boy Baozhi. Because of the way Captain Leng (strangled like he tried to strangle Lu Zhi), Master Wang (head buried/cut off?) and Dr Cheng (poisoned by his own meds) were killed. Probably Chen Wang also. Only those 3 know those details so it has to be one of them.